wind

Do Consumers Want Canada’s New Wireless Players?

In theory, more competition in Canada’s wireless market is a good thing because it will encourage the industry to become more innovative and, hopefully, it will drive down prices, which rank as the highest in the world.

The question, however, is whether consumers are interested in Canada’s new wireless players, which have emerged to compete against the three large incumbents – Rogers, Telus and Bell. So far, it doesn’t look like consumers really care much about the new competitors, which includes Wind, Public Mobile and Videotron.

Earlier this week, Wind CEO Tony Lacavera said the company hasĀ attracted about 140,000 customers. On the surface, it looks pretty good but it does appear the company has enough traction to reach its goal of 1.5 million customers by the end of its third year of business. In Quebec, Videoton only attracted 8,400 wireless customers in the third-quarter, failing to meet the 25,000 to 30,000 expected by analysts.

While the new wireless players will talk about the progress they are making, the harsh reality is Canada’s wireless landscape is a challenging place to establish a foothold when you consider how long the incumbents have been able to establish themselves. While the new players are valiantly trying to capture the attention of consumers, the incumbents are aggressively counter-attacking every move the new players make. A blatant example is Rogers’ launch of the low-cost Chattr brand earlier this year.

Maybe the the new wireless competitors need more time to win over consumers and position themselves as alternatives. Perhaps it is a matter of consumers being able to free themselves of long-term contracts before being able to consider alternatives. It could be that the new players need to offer cool smartphones given this is where the market is rapidly heading.

But any you want to cut it, Canada’s wireless market is, on the surface, more competitive but the bigger question is whether Canadian consumers are willing to enthusiastically embrace the new competitors.

How Are Canada’s New Wireless Players Doing?

Looking at Rogers Communications’ third-quarter results, the “new competitive reality” (aka new low-cost wireless rivals such as Wind, Public Mobile and Mobilicity) is starting to have an impact on Rogers’ profits.

Faced with the reality that consumers now have more choices, Rogers has been forced to lower its prices, cough up better deals to existing customers who threaten to leave, and launch a low-cost wireless service of its own, Chattr. This may be bad news for Rogers but it’s good news for consumers who are paying some of the highest wireless prices in the world.

Amid the doom and gloom about Rogers, there’s one key metric missing: Other than the fact Rogers is being forced to play nice, how many consumers are actually signing up with Wind, Public Mobile and Mobilicity? Is the competition winning lots of business or simply forcing the incumbents to offer sweeter deals?

There has been little subscriber information from the new players other than a press release by Wind in August that it had “welcomed over 100,000 customers in our first two quarters”. You need to figure out what “welcomed” means before getting too excited. Does this mean subscribers? Does it mean people who asked for information about what Wind is offering?

As much as it may be easy to dismiss Wind, et al, one lesson I learned an important lesson a few years ago that a a lot of business can happen without a lot of horn-blowing. I went to a Virgin Mobile event a few years ago, and told their PR person that I was going to guess how many customers they had. I wrote “25,000″ on my hand, and then showed it to her. Much to my surprise, Virgin had 250,000. When Virgin sold its stake to Bell, there were more than one million subscribers.

For all we know, the new players could have lots of customers or very few customers. As privately-owned companies, they don’t have to disclose any information unless it’s to their advantage. At some point, they may have to tip their cards to demonstrate to analysts and consumers they have enough traction to become viable and long-term players. But I think until they get a healthy amount of subscribers, don’t expect to hear any updates.

Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...