ILEC News, Analysis

Why Bandwidth Caps Kill Innovation

Content may be king but when it comes to people being able to access content, the value lies in the pipes from cable and telephone companies. The broadband market is an oligopoly with a handful of players offering service. As a result, they can charge pretty much whatever they want. If you don’t like it, there are few, if any, alternatives.

In Canada, most consumers are lucky if they have two options – cable or telephone. Not only do Canadians pay high prices but the new golden goose being embraced by broadband companies is data. With video, cloud computing, social media, gaming and telephony becoming more popular, consumers are gobbling up lots of data

For broadband companies, it offers a great opportunity to charge consumers for the privilege to using lots of data. This explains why data caps have quietly been put into place. They are not something broadband companies are actively marketing – speed is still the sizzle they want to highlight – but data caps are becoming a fact of life.

Aside from being an easy cash grab by broadband companies, bandwidth caps pose a major threat to innovation and how Canadians can use and take advantage of the Internet.

It wasn’t that long ago Canada was among the world leaders in broadband access but our status as a global tour de force is disappearing. The lack of competition is a sad state of affairs, and the fact broadband companies can pretty much do what they want is troubling.

It is a marked contrast to the wireless market in which the federal government has bent over backward to make sure there was more competition, led by the apparent need for more innovation and lower prices.

What’s puzzling is the potential of Inukshuk building a nation-wide wireless network to compete against the cable and telephone companies was snuffed when the federal government allowed it to be purchased by Rogers and Bell.

This has left Canada with an uncompetitive broadband market in which one player simply has to keep up with the other player to keep customers from jumping ship. And while the cable and telephone companies have invested a lot of money to build out their broadband networks, innovation isn’t a word that is used a lot. For Bell’s marketing push about the speed of its Fibe network, broadband speeds in Canada pale to other parts of the world.

If the federal government was serious about broadband competition and innovation in Canada, it would create real incentives for more players to enter the market, while keeping the existing players at bay – much like it is doing in the wireless market. Maybe this will happen when the foreign ownership rules are relaxed, which could encourage U.S. companies to move begging for more choices.

In the meantime, Canada will continue to suffer from a broadband infrastructure that is, at best, good enough as opposed to world-class. As a result, it stifles the development of innovative new services that could leverage real high-speed networks to meet the needs of data and cloud hungry consumers.

Who Controls the Pipes, Wins

Given some of the recent transactions, convergence has come roaring back after being considered dead in the wake of some disastrous deals earlier this decade. Can anyone say AOL/Time-Warner?

Despite the renewed belief that content and connectivity are a magical pairing, my take is it’s much ado about nothing all over again. At the end of the day, the pipes are much more valuable than content. Why? It’s simple: There are only a limited number of pipes but lots of content. This may live in a 500-channel universe but there’s limited way to access all of this content.

If consumers want content, they need a way to get it, and they are willing to pay higher prices for better, faster, more convenient connections. Look at how broadband prices continue to be increased with nary a whimper from consumers, who are loathe to pay anything for online services, even those they find valuable and useful.

No one talks about it much but he/she who controls the pipes, wins. It’s as simple as that.

There’s at least one person who seems to share my thesis: Rogers Communications CEO Nadir Mohammed, who provided this juicy quote to the Globe & Mail:

“We think there’s a lot of glory in dumb pipes,” he says. This is shortly before he also says, “There’s no such thing as dumb pipes.”

This quote come from the leader of a company which owns large broadband and wireless businesses, as well as radio stations and TV stations, magazines, Web sites and a baseball team.

The sudden need by pipe owners such as Bell Canada and Shaw to own content sounds like the same arguments pipe owners were making a decade ago, and we all know how well that turned out. The difference between then and now is there’s so much more content being created, which has made content is more of a commodity.

Meanwhile, the number of pipes has stayed relatively the same. Sure, there are a few more wireless carriers but it’s not like billions of dollars being poured into building new broadband networks being created. As long as pipes are in short supply, they will remain an extremely valuable asset – much more valuable than content.

The End of the Internet as We Know It

For the past 15 years, the Internet has been the Wild West with little regulation. This has created a landscape in which innovation has thrived – most of it good, some of it (spam, malware, etc.) not so good.

For companies and consumers, it has been an amazing smorgasbord with lots of selection and few rules of what to “eat”. In other words, we’ve had a it good as governments have, for the most part, stood on the sidelines.

There are growing signs, however, that the Internet as we know it is poised to disappear. Every day, there is more evidence that governments are going to attempt to regulate the Internet. In the Middle East, for example, Research in Motion is being pressured to change its encryption technology so governments can see the e-mail of BlackBerry users.

Meanwhile, Google and Verizon are apparently hold secret talks about creating a new system in which content providers could get access to faster Internet “roads” if they paid fees to ISPs. This ideas is contrary to the concept of Net Neutrality, which has been a huge issue over the past few years.

Regardless of what happens in the Middle East or the Google-Verizon talks, the sad reality is the Internet is going to change, and maybe not in a good way. Just as the Wild West was tamed, so too will be the Internet. It was good while it lasted.

Bell’s Brilliant Strategy: Charge for GPS!

Money
Armed with a gazillion dollars in debt (Actually, $30-billion give or take a few dollars) if a private equity buy-out is consummated, Bell Canada’s new corporate mantra is: more cash flow, more cash flow.

In practical terms, what it means is Bell needs to squeeze as many dollars as it possibly can from consumers without squeezing too hard that they flee to their local cablecos (e.g. Rogers, Videotron, Cogeco).

So far, the Mo’ Cash Flo’ (MCF) strategy has seen Bell start to charge wireless users for incoming text-messages if they happen not to subscribe a monthly (aka recurring revenue) text-message bundle.

Now, there’s growing speculation that Bell wants to change the rules for wireless GPS.

According to Wellington Financial Blog, rather than stand on the sidelines while GPS becomes the new mobile “killer app”, Bell is apparently thinking of doing two things:

1. It could lengthen the time it takes for wireless user to access GSP services such as Google Maps and Blackberry Maps to 2 to 10 minutes from 15 to 20 seconds. And it could resolve GPS data to 1 to 2.5 kilometers rather than 10 to 25 meters.

2. For consumers looking for superior GPS service, Bell – surprise, surprise – would be more than happy to sell you its own service called GPS Nav for $10/month. Sweet.

Knowing the state of competition within Canada, Rogers and Telus will likely use Bell’s move as an excuse to also offer advance GPS service.

Putting aside Bell’s financial needs, it’s a shame that it’s trying to piggyback on the growth of GPS. We’re on the cusp of some really amazing innovation and services based on the ability to use location for all kinds of different things. To get in the way of free GPS to make a buck is sad but, frankly, not that surprising.

Technorati Tags: , ,

Canadian Cablecos Winning High-Speed Game

Earlier this month, Silicon Valley Insider took a look at how the cable companies and telecos fared during Q2 in the high-speed Internet business. When it came to growth, the cable companies kicked some serious butt by taking 73% of net subscriber adds.

To get an idea of what’s happening north of the border, I did the same exercise. I also collected total telephone growth given bundles are such a key part of the marketing mix these days.

In the high-speed market, the cablecos walked away with 60% of net subscriber adds. Meanwhile, they attracted 106,958 net telephone adds, while the telcos lost 190,653 customers.

Canadian Cable/Telco Growth – Q2

Cable vs. Telco

U.S. Cable/Telco Broadband Growth – Q2

U.S. High-Speed Growth

Technorati Tags:

Welcome to Bell Canada Lite

One of the most puzzling aspects of Bell Canada’s announcement earlier this week it was slashing 2,500 management jobs was that some analysts seemed surprised.

In the wake of a leveraged buy-out that has left with more than $30-billion of debt, the company needs to be aggressive to boost cash flow. A key part will be lower operating costs, much of it through streamlining operations (aka wide-scale staff reductions).

It’s the only way that Bell Canada can support its new financial structure as well as give it enough money to make investments to remain competitive viable. For example, Bell Mobility may have to invest $500-million to do an GSM overlay to put it on a level playing field with Rogers.

At the same time, the competitive landscape is challenging. Bell Canada’s local telephone service, high-speed, wireless and satellite-TV are experiencing, at best, modest growth. This means revenue growth will have to come from small but steady price increases – not an easy trick to pull off when you’ve got pesky competitors looking to capitalize on any misstep.

George Cope may have his dream job as Bell Canada’s CEO but sometimes you should be careful what you wish for.

Technorati Tags: ,

Related Posts Plugin for WordPress, Blogger...