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Silicon Valley and the Emperor with No Clothes

One of the things that really struck me about Facebook’s launch of a new location-based service is not that it really, really looks and smells a lot like Foursquare but how it has put the spotlight on the tremendous amount of hype that has surrounded Foursquare and how Silicon Valley does such an amazing job of supporting and fuelling this hype.

For months, the buzz has been Foursquare is going to be the next Twitter. While Foursquare really only had one feature (the ability to check in and broadcast your location), it was only a matter of time before other features were added to make it a lot more useful. Then, it would experience hockey stick-like growth.

Silicon Valley played a key role in pumping the Foursquare story, highlighted by the recent infusion of $20-million of venture capital (less the cash that Foursquare’s founders were strangely allowed to keep for themselves).

The deal was Silicon Valley’s way of propping up the hype even though there were already lots of questions about whether Foursquare could become more than a one-trick pony. And while Foursquare does have two million registers users, the real question to ask is how many of them are active users.

I would hazard to guess there is a lot of people who use the service infrequently or not at all. In my world, Foursquare is nowhere to be seen, and this is a crowd that embraces pretty much everything.

Not to throw stones at Silicon Valley but the reality is it plays multiple roles. There is the financing that comes from the venture capitalists and a huge talent pool to support the ecosystem.

But Silicon Valley is also into the selling and hyping its creations. There’s a giant marketing machine built into Silicon Valley’s DNA that does a terrific job of selling people on dreams and aspirations, including start-ups that may or not be able to attract enough users to become viable.

In many ways, this is a key part of Silicon Valley’s success. It is a place where eternal optimism rules. There is no room for negativity or having small dreams. In Silicon Valley, you aim for the stars even if the rest of the world may not buy into the stories you’re telling.

Foursquare is a perfect example of this ecosystem. It is a jewel that Silicon Valley is desperately hoping will turn into the mother lode.

Unfortunately, Facebook has probably exposed Foursquare for what it is: an interesting start-up that captured the imagination of investors, the media, bloggers and people on the bleeding edge but it will never be able to become anything more than it is right now.

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  • Conrad Labonte

    Mark

    An interesting take, and being a regular use of foursquare for over 3 months here in Asia (and having gotten at least a dozen other people hooked on it also) I can definitely say I think you are right on this one.

    Foursquare MAYBE had a chance to become a marketing/promo/advertising tool to help for location based promotions, but I really think that Shopkick new service is the one that is the holy grail for merchants/businesses that will take location based promos/advertising seriously — eg they are the one that will spend the money, and having taken a look at Shopkick, its clear their business model is much more attractive and verifiable than foursquare for businesses. The #1 reason I heard from businesses in the past 3 months as to not join foursquare for promo purposes is because they cannot do location verification and validation of users clearly with foursquare. Shopkick ‘kicks’ that challenge right where it hurts.

    As much as I hate to say it cause I have enjoyed foursquare – it is a dead model unless the dramatically overhaul the business and technology rapidly.

  • http://Spidvid.com Jeremy Campbell

    I don’t think many people thought that Twitter would go anywhere in 2007 or even in 2008, but look where it is now. Mind you their service offers much more value than FourSquare’s does but the newer generation of web/mobile users are really getting into these location based services. Of course Facebook places is now live so we will see if that service catches on, if it does then it may very well kill FourSquare. If it doesn’t catch on then FourSquare could be doomed, and this is why the founders were smart for taking some of that $20 million off of the table.