Twitter-Google: The Conspiracy Theory

So, TechCrunch is spreading rumors and speculation about a Twitter-Google deal.

If you believe in the theory where there’s smoke, there’s fire, a deal may, in fact, be happening…or not given how TechCrunch is getting conflicting reports on the state of discussions between Twitter and Google.

Now, if you’re a conspiracy theorist or someone who looks at business fundamentals, here’s why I think Twitter may be in play:

Despite all the bravado from Twitter and its venture capital investors about new revenue streams being launched in the coming months, it may just be that Twitter isn’t much of a business. It could be that the millions of users can’t be leveraged into millions of dollars of revenue. Twitter built it, they came but no one (users, advertisers, partners) wants to pay for it.

If Twitter doesn’t have a viable business model but lots of users, then it needs to find a suitor who has a business and wants a lot more users. This is where Google comes into play.

Twitter is a lot more interesting to Google now than it was six months ago because Twitter has emerged as an increasingly interesting search engine, providing real-time insight into what people are talking about and thinking.

As Google looks for new ways to expand its search dominance, it becomes more logical to consider the acquisition of Twitter.

If you combine this strategic need with Twitter’s lack of a viable business model, a Google-Twitter deal makes a lot of sense.

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3 Comments

  1. Posted April 4, 2009 at 12:52 am | Permalink

    "Makes a lot of sense": well I guess it depends from which perspective ? Certainly not from the web sector. Certainly not from FB, MSFT or Yahoo. And depending on whether you believe Twitter has a solid revenue model or not, not from Twitter (as a company) perspective.
    Yes, great for Twitter VCs who get an excellent exit in those harsh days and yes great for Google who kills a potential future competitor.
    But I do not consider the 2 latter's benefits has being our main concern in the sector. More here for those that want: http://tinyurl.com/dhcz7u

  2. Posted April 7, 2009 at 8:25 pm | Permalink

    totally agree,
    i would add VC create fake value and are trying to make the deal overvaluating the growth

  3. Posted April 13, 2009 at 2:49 pm | Permalink

    Just wrote a post over at Just Too Logical, where I suggest that Apple buy Twitter and make the iPhone the only mobile device that can access the Twitter system.

4 Trackbacks

  1. [...] Twitter-Google: The Conspiracy Theory (markevanstech.com) [...]

  2. By On Marines and Twitter « On Technology on April 3, 2009 at 11:54 am

    [...] Twitter-Google: The Conspiracy Theory (markevanstech.com) Possibly related posts: (automatically generated)On predictionsGoogle to buy Twitter….I saw it coming!Pot of GoldGoogle Buys Jaiku – What Will This Mean For Twitter? [...]

  3. [...] Twitter-Google: The Conspiracy Theory (markevanstech.com) [...]

  4. [...] further in a blog post during February), and has since been talked about further by people such as Mark Evans and Twitter.com Co-Founder Biz [...]

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