Counting Pageviews: 1, 2, 8, 15

Amid the current online boom and the growing fascination with pageviews (Eyeballs 2.0), it’s good to see the New York Times put the spotlight on the different ways to measure and present traffic.

Web site A claims it has x number of visitors while measurement services such as ComScore and Nielson/NetRatings suggest it’s much lower. Who’s right and/or more accurate. The answer: no one really knows because there are no industry standards when it comes to accurately determining pageviews, which is strange given it’s become such an important part of the Web’s economic landscape.

You figure the Internet Advertising Bureau or some of the major Web sites that depend on accurate traffic numbers would have done something. Instead, there’s been a proliferation of measurement services, including start-ups such as Quantcast and Compete.com.

If an industry standard for pageviews isn’t created, do not be surprised if the CPM advertising model continues to erode while performance tool such as pay-per-click continue to gain momentum. After all, how can an advertiser buy with any confidence if they’re unsure about whether the traffic information they see is accurate?

In the absence of accurate pageview numbers, there is also the risk/opportunity for other measurement standards to gain a foothold. For example, attention (or time on a Web site) is starting to emerge on the belief that the most effective online advertisers are those who retain visitors for a long period of time.

Sponsorship could also become more popular as a way for an advertiser to wrap their brand around a particular marketing initiative while keeping control of costs. Of course, the cost of sponsorship program hinge on measuring the size of the audience, which takes us back to the original conundrum.

So, what’s the future for the pageview? Maybe it’s in danger of becoming irrelevant if every Tom, Dick and .com can use their own methodologies to determine their traffic. Silicon Valley Insider asks whether the confusion over traffic even matters.

Life Beyond Techmeme

Do you know what’s most interesting about Techmeme? It’s how many people – particularly bloggers – are obsessed with Techmeme and how it operates. Folks, it’s really time to focus your time and energy on something else. Sure, Techmeme is far from perfect and there are many ways to “game” or manipulate it but it’s far from being the only place to get your technology news fix.

Techmeme is a first-rate service, which is why it’s so popular, but if you’re looking for alternatives, check out Y Hacker News, which lets people vote on stories they find interesting. CNet and Wired also great places to get a quick overview of what’s happening. Then, there’s del.ico.us’ popular list, Reddit and Digg. Yes, there is life (and news) behond Techmeme.

If you’re looking for the “Caramilk Secret” behind Techmeme, check out these two videos (here and here) by Robert “I’m reading more than 900 feeds” Scoble.

Hats Off to A Small Orange

Wordpress-3
From what I’ve read, moving to a new Web host is pretty straightforward as long you as do things by the book – e.g. backup your files, move them to the new host, change your DNS, etc. Of course, moving to a new host can often be less than straightforward. It can be a harrowing, frustrating and time-consuming process.

So, it was with some trepidation that I headed down the path to move this blog and All About Nortel to A Small Orange from b5media. In the beginning, things were helped along by b5media’s Lee Newton, who patiently worked to determine some SQL issues that cropped up. Then, I switched the DSN coordinates, and crossed my fingers to see if the switch to A Small Orange worked.

Everything seemed to be fine until I tried to click on one of my posts, and got an error message. Not good. A few frantic e-mails to A Small Orange’s top-notch support people led to a change in the .htaccess files – and, voila, we’re good to go.

All I need to do is re-install a bunch of plug-ins and find a cool three-column theme (I’m thinking clean, blue/white). Please bear with me while I experiment with different themes.

In hindsight, there’s no lack of advice, hacks and insight available about WordPress. In fact, there’s probably too much. One thing I’d like to see is cPanel 101 given that’s where the magic to switching the .htaccess files existed.

By the way, if you’re looking for a new Web host, I have no hesitation recommending A Small Orange. Their hosting packages are reasonably prices while support is very responsive, quick and helpful.

Watch Investors Go Ga-Ga Over Google

It seems a stretch to think Google’s going to hit Henry Blodget’s bullish, link-baiting $2000 target any time soon but it’s not difficult to think $700 could happen in the near future (e.g. perhaps before Halloween) after the company’s third-quarter results surpassed the expectations of all those number-crunching analysts by 16 cents a share, or 5%, while revenue jumped 57% to $4.23-billion.

Yeah, I hear what you’re saying – posts like this will only fuel the fire but investors are already excited enough about Google without get any more inspired by the blogosphere. As long as Google’s operating costs don’t become too much of a concern, and the online advertising market stays healthyenough for Google to get more than its fair share, Google stock will stay hot.

It’s Money Time, Facebook

The Facebook phenomena is alive and clearly more than well. At the Web 2.0 Summit yesterday, CEO Mark Zuckerberg provided a corporate update:

- 45 million users
- 6,000 applications
- 100,000 developers creating third-party applications
- 300 employees with plans to have 700 by next year

(Hat tip to Dean Takahashi who put together a nice recap of Zuckerberg’s Q&A with John Battelle at the conference)

Most important, he said a financing deal is “going well. We’re almost wrapped up”. Whatever the final valuation, it’s going to be astoundingly large and likely give incite a litany of the “B” words – bubble, boom, bust, bonzo, billionaires. Either Facebook epitomizes a super-successful start-up capitalizing on the social networking bonanza, or it is the poster-child for excess and irrational exuberance.

Regardless of which side of the fence you sit, one thing is clear: it’s time for Facebook to transform itself into a mega-business. Having millions of enthusiastic users and thousands of developers is great but the end game – other than being acquired or doing an IPO – is making money, and lots of it. So how does Facebook go about turning itself into a Google-like cash machine? How valuable will advertisers find its users and what kind of tools will they and Facebook use to reach them?

In a sense, Facebook is in the same situation that Google was in five years ago when Google had a popular search engine but scrambling for a way to monetize it. Then, it borrowed Overture’s pay-per-click model, and the rest, as they say, is history. Faceook needs to the same thing, although it’s an easier task given the online advertising market is thriving and Facebook is one of the biggest properties on the Web.

Even so, Facebook faces huge strategic challenges now. The party’s over; it’s time to get down to big business.

Bubble Watch: Expensive Conferences

Another thought about the growing fascination about whether there’s a dot-com bubble happening: conferences have become big business, especially in Silicon Valley.

Facts to consider: About 1,000 people are attending the Web 2.0 Summit in San Francisco this week. At $3,595 a ticket, that’s gross revenue of $3.6-million, not including money from sponsors such as Nokia, AOL, eBay and Microsoft.

This sold-out event comes on the heels of TechCrunch40 that saw 800 people cough up $2,500 a ticket, which is gross revenue of $2-million. (Cynthia Brumfield suggests this meant a cool profit of $2.1 million for the organizers, Jason Calacanis and Michael Arrington, after taking into account sponsorship.)

You can find my chicken list post about the bubble worries from earlier today here.

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