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Greed and Avarice in the eBay World

April 24th, 2005 | 1 Comment | Posted in Main Page

My brother dropped me an e-mail earlier this week about his growing disappointment with people on eBay who appear to offer reasonable prices - only to discover they are charging outrageous shipping and mailing fees. It's those people selling software, for example, who claim it costs US$20 to deliver - more if you happen to live in Canada. It is these people who break what has made the eBay buying and seling community work so well: trust and honesty. Sure, there's an element of caveat emptor but it's a sneaky way to make money. Maybe this is just another lcrack in eBay's e-commerce armor - along with the company's insistence on raising its user fees to meet the expectations of Wall St. (What about the expectations of your users, eBay?). Often, it's not major strategic errors that initiate a company's fall from grace but a series of little ones. This is something eBay would be wise to remember.

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Canadian Support for Skype

April 24th, 2005 | No Comments | Posted in Main Page

Skype Journal has become the quasi-official voice on the Web for the Skype community. I was pleasantly surprised to discover it's being run out of Kelowna, B.C. by Bill Campbell and Stuart Henshall. Stuart launched the blog as a personal Web site as Skype started to emerge from the shadows, and it has morphed into one of the sites for Skype users. They have just published an API guide to support the development community. Regardless of how you view Skype's future, you have to be impressed by eco-system that is being created. Every new technology needs validation - whether it's from customers, users, investors or peers. Skype is getting this validation in peers. The question is whether it can capture a part of the VOIP market and established a sustainable business.

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Is Skype Becoming a Business?

April 23rd, 2005 | 2 Comments | Posted in Main Page

For those of you didn't see an article I wrote earlier this week on Skype - following Niklas Zennstrom's keynote speech - I thought you be interested in checking it out. It's focused on how Skype is evolving into a business - as opposed to cool technology - and whether an IPO is in the cards.
Is Niklas Zennstrom of Skype Technologies SA the Steve Jobs or the James Dean of the Internet telephony industry?
Is Mr. Zennstrom, who co-founded Skype in 2003, going to transform the telecommunications industry by offering a service that lets people make free or low-cost telephone calls? Or is he a “rebel without a cause” with a
service that will never become a viable business, even though it has 35 million registered users?
While the jury is still out, Skype is starting to evolve from simply being a startup with cool technology into a business. Since introducing its first paid-service last July, Skype has attracted more than 1.2 million customers.
In addition to people looking to make free or inexpensive phone calls, it has found a fertile niche with road warriors who want to avoid high hotel phone bills.
Internet consultant Jim Carroll has become an avid user as a way to call his family while travelling. He said a recent 12-minute call to Toronto from San Francisco using Skype cost only 24 cents. “That's mind-boggling,” he said. “I'm hooked. I see value in it and I don't depart with my Internet dollars willingly.”
Jeff Pulver, who organized this week's VON Canada conference in Toronto, said Skype “whether you like it or not” has become the iPod of the Internet telephony world, and Mr. Zennstrom is the industry's Steve Jobs, referring to the chief executive of Apple Computer Inc.
“Skype is where it's at today,” Mr. Pulver said. “They took an application, made it easy to use, did it better than the rest and provided it at the right price,” he said.
Yet one of the challenges facing Skype is convincing consumers, investors and telecom carriers it is more than just technology used by the bleeding and leading edge.
Mr. Zennstrom, who gave a keynote speech yesterday in Toronto at the VON Canada conference, said Skype has been a business from day one, but many people have had a difficult time understanding its business model because
traditional metrics do not apply.
“A lot of people in the telecom industry said there was no business model,” he said during an interview. “When you are a 120-person company providing worldwide service with 34 million users and your marginal costs are zero, numbers like average revenue per user is irrelevant. ARPU is irrelevant because our cost base is not in users, but employees.”
Mr. Zennstrom is no stranger to attracting controversy by pushing disruptive technology into the mainstream. He made his mark several years ago by co-founding Kazaa BV, file-sharing software that makes it easy to download free music.
Mr. Zennstrom and his partner, Janus Friis, sold Kazaa to Sharman Networks in 2002, although Mr. Zennstrom is still being sued by the music industry.
With Skype, Mr. Zennstrom is not attracting legal troubles, although there are network operators unhappy that Skype threatens to disrupt the industry's economics while offering a service that piggybacks over high-speed Internet
networks.
Rather than look at Skype as a telecom service provider, Mr. Zennstrom said the proper benchmarks should be Internet behemoths such as Yahoo Inc. “A lot of people use Yahoo for free,” he said. “It has 150 million registered users and 8.5 million paying customers. They make $9 to $10 a year from each paying customer, and that is what we want to benchmark.”
Despite Mr. Zennstrom's contention that Skype is not a telecom operator, it is slowly starting to assume more carrier-like characteristics. Last July, the London-based company began selling a service called SkypeOut, which lets
users make calls to people using traditional telephone service. Earlier this year, Skype began selling SkypeIn, which gives users a phone number so they can receive calls from non-Skype users.
The big question facing carriers is how to handle Skype. It's hard ignore, seeing as Skype is pursuing their customer base, and at a time when carriers such as Bell Canada are starting to launch their own Internet telephony services.
As Skype gains legitimacy, speculation grows that it will soon pursue an initial public offering, although Mr. Zennstrom insists the firm is not looking for cash after a US$18.8-million venture capital deal in early 2004.
“We don't have a road map for [an IPO],” he said. “One thing I learned is that raising capital takes a lot of energy and focus from the executive team. We are happy to build the business rather than focus on capital.”

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Nortel-Siemens Marriage?

April 23rd, 2005 | No Comments | Posted in Main Page

According to Der Spiegel (Germany's Time magazine with a healthy appetite for for sensationalism), Nortel and Siemens are apparently thinking a partnership involving Siemens' struggling wireless phone business, or Siemens may buy a stake in Nortel. I'm not sure what to make of this speculation other than it feeds into the growing interest in the analyst and investor communities for consolidation within the equipment maker sector. Frankly, I'm not convinced Nortel is ready for an outside investor given it still has accounting and class-action lawsuit issues to resolve. And I'm puzzled why anyone would take an equity stake in Nortel rather than acquiring it.

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The Growing Power of Blogs

April 22nd, 2005 | No Comments | Posted in Main Page

BusinessWeek has an eight-page spread in the most recent issue on blogs, including some eye-catching stats. In particular, I was interested - due to my fascination with investing - by the fact venture capital firms pumped US$60 million into blog startups last year. I'd like to see a list of these companies to see if there are common themes in terms of business models - or whether any of them have business models at all. If you look at some of the exit deals of blog start-ups recently (Ask Jeeves-Bloglines as an example), it strikes me that many of them are more purchases of technology and users than businesses. It raises the question whether VC investments in blog start-ups is a quick-return M&A game - akin to how many VCs frantically raced into search engines and e-commerce sites during the dot-com boom.
Adendum: I stumbled across a blog that suggested Yahoo was poised to make investments in blog tools. Among the rumored targets was Six Apart, which owns Type Pad, Live Journal and Moveable Type.

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More thoughts on Canadian WLNP

April 22nd, 2005 | 1 Comment | Posted in Main Page

Some interesting comments on the Canadian wireless industry's plan to create a plan to introduce wireless local number portability. Several analysts don't think WLNP will be a big deal because a growing number of consumers are tied into long-term contracts. As for when WLNP could be launched, analysts do not expect it to happen until at least 2006 at very earliest.

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More Canadian VC for VOIP

April 22nd, 2005 | 2 Comments | Posted in Main Page

VoIPshield Systems Inc., which is developing security technology to protect voice traffic over IP networks, has received $2 million in seed financing from Brightspark Ventures. The cash will be used to complete work on software that is slated to be released later this year. VoIPshield claims it's the first company to focus entirely on security issues specific to IP voice. It's encouraging to see Canadian venture capital firms invest in Internet telephony - actually, it's heartening to see Canadian VCs invest in any technology company after sitting on the sidelines for several years after the dot-com boom. Brightspark thrust itself into the spotlight a couple of years ago when it sold ThinkDynamics - an internally created software maker, to IBM for $50-million.
It was brought to my attention that Brightspark also has an investment in Iotum Corp., which is developing software to route and manage Internet telephony calls. (Note: Iotum needs to update its Web site because it is nearly impossible to get a handle on what they're actually doing. Perhaps they want it that way.)

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Wireless LNP in Canada

April 21st, 2005 | 1 Comment | Posted in Main Page

You have to like how Canada's wireless industry has decided to “address” the local number portability issue. After being told in February by the federal government that WLNP had to be addressed “expeditiously”, the industry announced with much fanfare today it will come up with a plan by Sept. 1. But it must be pointed out that coming up with a plan and actually offering WLNP to consumers are two completely different things. You can create a plan but it can take years to make it actually happen - exhibit A is the U.S. By making a big deal of a “plan”, the wireless industry is trying to make itself look like the good guy but anyone who gets too excited is fooling themselves.

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VON Canada: Wrap Up

April 21st, 2005 | No Comments | Posted in Main Page

If VON Canada was to receive a report card, I'd give it about a B. One of the things it lacked was star power. Other than Skype's Niklas Zennstrom, the keynotes lacked sizzle. With a new event - VON Canada is only two years old - there needs to be a good reasons for people to attend and for the media to cover it. It felt like the Pulver group was trying too hard to make VON Canada a big event in that the schedule seemed stretched and the venue in the Metro Toronto Convention Centre was too big. It's kind of like the rule for throwing a good party: rather than holding it in a giant hall where there's a danger it can feel like it's empty, you hold in a small venue and give people the impression it's packed and, therefore, the place to be.
On a positive note, I talked with Digium CEO Mark Spencer earlier today about his company's plan to disrupt the PBX world. While Digium has its challenges, I like the fact they are trying to make a difference and shake up an industry dominated for years by folks such as Nortel. And you've got to like any tech company headquartered in Huntsville, Ala. just for the novelty factor!

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Opera 8 Hits the Charts

April 21st, 2005 | No Comments | Posted in Main Page

With 600,000 downloads of Opera's newest browser - Opera 8 - in the first 48 hours of its availability, what are Internet users saying about the browser market. Clearly, the strong interest in Opera 8 and the fact Firefox has been downloaded 46 million times suggests many people are looking for an alternative to Internet Explorer. I wonder how many of the these downloads are a result of curiosity and how many are people seriously looking to replace IE. While Opera and Firefox have their shortcomings, there is enough discontent with IE that many people don't see the negatives as an obstacle. One thing about technology is that innovative products pick up momentum from all different corners. Look at how Google came out of left field to dominate the search engine market. With more than 90% of the browser market, IE is still king but there's real competition out there so Bill Gates better do something dramatic with the next version of IE or watch a pillar of Microsoft's strength crumble.

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